Predictions of Hans Rosling, the Prophet of Demography

The predictions of Hans Rosling began to be highly valued when Gapminder, the foundation of which he was a co-founder, developed a very interesting computer program. Its main attribute was to convert statistical series into interactive graphics. From this, Rosling managed to visualize important demographic trends in the world.

This Swedish doctor, a professor of public health, joked that everyone wanted to look at his computer, because there the growth of the economy appeared before anywhere else. He was right. The predictions of Hans Rosling on the demography, also allow to infer the destiny of the economy.

“Instead of getting carried away by prejudice, statistics has the potential to open our eyes, to give us an image of the world based on facts. In this way, more than ever before in our history, we can become the authors of our own destiny.”

-Hans Rosling-

It is not free that Google has acquired its Trendalyzer program in 2007. Based on this, the communications multinational publishes its famous Motion Chart. It shows the main demographic and economic trends, so that everyone knows them. But what were those predictions by Hans Rosling that show what our immediate future will be like? Let’s deepen.

The future of the world will be defined in the bedrooms

Although this doctor and researcher was a very rigorous academic, he also had a great sense of humor. That’s why Hans Rosling’s predictions have a touch of sympathy. This, for example, tells us that the world’s economy is decided not on Wall Street, or in the International Monetary Fund, but in people’s bedrooms.

This simply means that the future of the economy depends on the number of children each couple has. He managed to establish that when the quality of life increases, the birth rate decreases. This is the opposite of what happened in the past, when economic growth triggered the birth rate. Each country, then, is in the hands of what happens in the bedroom of its inhabitants.

Africa, one of the predictions of Hans Rosling

One of the predictions of Hans Rosling that has attracted the most attention is that which refers to the African continent. In his opinion, Africa will have an important economic growth between 2015 and 2050. That is why it refers to it as emerging China.

He assures that the fastest growing economy in the world will be the African one. Rosling says that whoever wants to become a millionaire, should invest in Africa, where educated women already represent 20% of the population in countries like Tanzania, Ethiopia and Ghana. This will encourage a demographic change and promote growth.

Retirement age will be extended

The world is getting old and the older population increases considerably. In some countries, adults over 65 begin to be a very significant segment. For many nations it will be too burdensome to have a high population group completely unproductive.

Rosling points out that in the near future the retirement age will be around 75 years. Few countries could afford to have a large group of people “playing golf” for a period of 10 years. In addition, advances in science have made the diseases of old age appear later.

The Asian woman

Another one of the most striking predictions of Hans Rosling is that which refers to Asian women. According to their data, a paradoxical situation arises in several of these countries. On the one hand, women have conquered an important place in the academic and labor world. However, they continue to prioritize deeply macho customs within society.

This has led many Asian women, especially in Singapore and Taiwan, to dismiss marriage as a life option. They know that if they get married they will be subject to strong limitations on the part of their husbands, and even their in-laws. That is why the birth rate is decreasing at an accelerated pace, while the presence of Oriental women in the market is increasing by leaps and bounds.

Controlling migration is fundamental for the world

For Hans Rosling, migration is one of the phenomena that generates the most difficulties in the whole world. For that reason, it is a reality that will become increasingly restricted and persecuted. This applies mainly to migrants who go to rich countries looking for better opportunities.

Rosling says that this ends up breaking families and enriching illegal businesses. Therefore, the tendency is to establish increasingly rigid controls on this practice. For the expert, if it is achieved, the migrants themselves, their families and their countries of origin will benefit.

All of Hans Rosling’s predictions are based on a thorough study of the available data. The demographic forecasts have shown to have a high level of accuracy. Therefore, it is not strange that in the next few years we will see how each of these forecasts becomes reality.